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CES 2007 Pre Show
Dick De Jong
January 14, 2007
HDTV Solutions

CES 2007

Wrap up

After a few days post CES, I have had a chance to digest the experience and put a modicum of perspective on the event.

Blame it on the fact that my eyes are still recovering from flat panel overload, but my overriding impression from CES is that those lithe HDTVs that seemed so exotic only a few short Super Bowls ago are now everywhere you turn. And are being branded and sold by everyone and their great uncle Ned.

I saw booths adorned with 42, 47, and 52"; LCDs from manufacturers that I have never heard of. But my unfamiliarity doesn't mean that these TVs aren't good. I would never make such a snap assessment about quality.


Broksonic 42" Plasma

But this proliferation of brands along with our quick transition from buying those not-quite-old-enough-to-be-retro bulky CRTs to purchasing these oh-so-avant-garde slinky sets does indicate that flat screen HDTVs are fast becoming a commodity as common and everyday as a car. Or to pick another household item that we are all chummy with - a TV. Or as I uttered more than once at CES when I was asked about this or that new model, "It's a TV."

I know that I'm stating the obvious, but with all the technospeak and marketing hype surrounding these utterly lovely high definition displays, it's easy to forget that they derive from the bloodlines of that out of the world Quasar TV on which you watched the Packers and the Chiefs in the first Super Bowl forty years ago. Or for those less ancient, can it already be ten years since we were conspiratorially enjoying The X-Files on the original "flat screen" TV, the Sony Trinitron WEGA?

The technology has definitely evolved, (for the better, I must say), but sometimes you think you need a degree in electrical engineering to understand the jargon. If and ultimately when you become befuddled by chromaticity diagrams and 3-3 pulldowns and 4-wavelength backlight systems, remember, it's a TV. Granted, it's bigger, more beautiful and in higher definition, but it's still the granddaughter of that zesty Zenith and that trusty RCA.

If you can place discussions about codecs and resolutions in the context of your familiar TV viewing experience, then you can begin to prioritize what features are important to you when you are deciding which high tech HDTV to purchase.


Chromaticity Diagram

Back to the future

I hate to make predictions because they inevitably come back to bite you in the butt; but I think I'm seeing a resting period in this breakneck race for resolution. Even though Sharp hinted at a 4000 x 2000 pixel LCD, I believe we will be catching our breaths at 1080p for hopefully, at least, a couple of years.

I think consumers need some time to digest this milestone before the industry induces motion sickness with a lurch to higher resolutions beyond 1080p. Right now, about the only way to deliver any 1080p content is through the competing high def DVD formats and that battle has slowed the adoption of that distribution pipeline. On the old media front, broadcasters seem to be content with delivering 720p and 1080i. And TV or movies over the Internet will need a boost in bandwidth before it's feasible to stream or download content with a resolution above 1080p.


Really Big Screen
The Light and Water Show at the Wynn

Of course, don't delude yourself that research and development or the marketing machine has ground to a standstill. It hasn't and that's a good thing. The marketing mavens need to differentiate their 1080p from the next guy's and the R&D teams are supplying the ammunition with improved features like higher contrast displays with an expanded color gamut.

And, to our delight, bigger screens were everywhere, plasmas, LCDs, and rear projection TVs. With the LCDs announced at CES, the next increments of size are 52" and 57".

LG LY3D
LG LY3D Series in 47, 52 and 57", 1080p

When it comes to screen size, consumers often look for the sweet spot - the screen size that is not that much more expensive than the next smaller size, but where you pay a real premium to step up to the next larger size. Over the last couple of years, we have seen the sweet point for LCD screens escalate from 32" to 37" to 42". By the end of 2007, sweet might taste like 47" as their sticker price approaches or drops below '06's 42" level. And if the past year is a good indicator, we should see prices for many 42" models (especially the 720p's) duck under the $1000 mark.

Of course, as screen sizes expand, picture resolution becomes a very visible consideration. And when we all start mounting 75" TVs on our living room walls, we will need to resume our discussion about 4000 x 2000 pixel panels.

For now, that's a wrap of CES 2007. If you have any questions or comments, drop me a line.

Stay tuned.

CES Sunday - Press Conferences
CES Monday
CES Tuesday
CES Wednesday
CES Slideshow

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